Letter
from Lhasa, number 367. For the rapid robotization of
politics and government! Just some notes
by
Roberto Abraham Scaruffi
Actually, we have no
personal preference. We are only trying expressing what will inevitably happen
in a few years and, in some way, is already happening.
Yes, in a few years, not
in decades. The robotization of human workforce will exponentially develop in
some years while the nearly complete robotization and automatization of
whatever now-human activity will take a bit more time, and will produce super-clever
robots and artificial minds [AI] overcoming the human ones since the unlimited
capacity of rapidly and creatively learning robots and other devices will
growingly have.
It is some decades that
industrial robotization reshaped Taylorist factories making largely redundant
the traditional line workers. Now robots will rapidly replace human workforce. One may find more information,
or more exemplification, about that, in apparently fantascience movies than in
current mass media, although lately current research in this sector be publicly
exposed. We are now in the passage phase between scientific and technological acquisitions,
and their utilization for the mass productions of para-human robots and similar
devices.
http://uk.businessinsider.com/
recently published the list of twenty jobs robots are most likely to take over,
alias being automated. They are, with
the estimated probability that that will really happen:
20. Electrical and electronic
equipment assemblers, 95.1%;
19. Postal service
workers, 95.4%;
18. Jewellers and
precious stone and metal workers, 95.5%;
17. Restaurant cooks, 96.3%;
16. Grinding and
polishing workers, 97%;
15. Cashiers, 97.1%;
14. Bookkeepers, 97.6%;
13. Legal secretaries, 97.6%;
12. Fashion models, 97.6%;
11. Drivers, 97.8%,
10. Credit analysts, 97.9%;
9. Milling and planing
machine setters, operators, and tenders, 97.9%;
8. Packaging and
filling-machine operators and tenders, 98%;
7. Procurement clerks, 98%;
6. Umpires and referees,
98.3%;
5. Tellers, 98.3%;
4. Loan officers, 98.4%;
3. Timing-device
assemblers and adjusters, 98.5%;
2. Tax preparers, 98.7%;
1. Telemarketers, 99%.
[http://uk.businessinsider.com/jobs-robots-are-most-likely-to-take-over-2015-5?op=1]
Actually, giving a look
at the current research, one may infer that, for instance, waiters, soldiers,
police officers, wardens, teachers and professors, lawyers and magistrates can
be easily replaced by robots and other automatic procedures or devices. Certainly,
also many others work functions.
In practice, all factory
workers and office workers, included many managerial or para-managerial
positions, can be easily replaced by automatic procedures and devices. In
addition, many other jobs can be easily and profitably replaced by automatic
procedures and devices, even many we think have a discretion or difficulty
actually either they have not or not such that software and machines could not profitably
deal with. Even in the health sector, robots will be able to operate better and
more profitably than humans.
Computerization,
progressively diffused well before the personal computers era, only in some
sectors and places has been profitably implemented. Overall in predatory and
inefficient State/governments, and other entities, IT has been as put besides
and combined with inefficient organisational structures instead of being used
for replacing inefficient organizations with efficient ones.
Also in central and
local governments, and similar entities, large part of the current work force
can be rapidly dismissed and profitably replaced by automatized and robotized
efficient organizational structures.
Of course, but only in
limited proportions, and only for a while [AI is rapidly progressing allowing
creating robots considerably more skilful and cleverer than humans] there would
be a new proletariat, for instance programmers, and new professions connected
with the installation and maintenance of robots and other forms of
automation.
...Politics and
institutions too.
The so-called
institutions are bureaucratic apparatuses. They are variously corrupted,
inefficient, useless and harmful, and also excessively costly.
There is a mafia-style
law of silence about what really be and how actually work the so-called
representative institutions as parliaments, local councils, central and local
formal governments, as well as other assemblies and committees. Ministers,
Prime Ministers, Presidents, MPs, other ‘people’ representatives, have no real
power, or not what it seem. They are as elected bureaucrats, as elected clerks,
temporarily covering predefined positions of corrupted and inefficient
organizational machines. They have no real power. So, people have no real
power.
More precisely, anybody
has [not in the same ‘quantity’] some power although nobody have “the power”. About
government [what in the European tradition is called State, the bureaucratic apparatuses, administration], bureaucrats
having the power of not doing frequently have more real power than provisional
politicians. Of course, there are differences and different circumstances, so
it is always imprecise generalizing too much although the impotence of people formally
in office and in power be everyday visible everywhere in the world. Power is nowhere
and everywhere, although there be people
having tiniest amounts of it and people (not necessarily the most visible ones)
decidedly more influent.
There is a
sociological-psychological law [the law
of downward levelling and aligning] according to which, in whatever
democratic, as well as non-democratic, institution and organization, the
consensus is reached around the points of view of the most ignorant and evil
subjects. Different points of view would not be understood and tolerated, or
each one of the subjects suppose they would not be understood and tolerated.
Of course, there is the
power of money: big companies, bankers, financiers etc. Also in the case of
“big money” (big companies, bankers, financiers etc.), wherever there be big
organizations, the law of downward
levelling and aligning applies and works. Even in cases of monocratic, or
relatively monocratic, companies/organizations, money and power do not
necessarily make owners and top managers better and wiser. Oligarchies
constituting real government, whatever the formal one be, are not necessarily
better and wiser. In the case of world Empires and in the case of Developmental
States/Governments, leading oligarchies may be better for certain aspects, but
not necessarily (and actually improbably) about everything.
Politics and
institutions have the de facto
function of creating problems instead of solving them. Anyway, both problem
solving and problem creation can be purposely automatized.
Also the activity of the
so-called democratic institutions, and of the supposedly decisional levels of
central and local governments could be profitably cut and automatized.
...Party politics too.
What is politics, the
apparent competition among parties and factions? Politics is just marketing. Marketing,
clientelism and corruption. Strong and weak formal and real governments depends
on the Constitutional frame and on oligarchies. They have no correlation with
the political market.
People vote according to
the corruption and brainwashing realized through clientelism, political
advertising, media suggestions, utilization of police disservices and
magistracy for striking or promoting politicians. Whoever gains elections and
creates formal governments follows similar policies. That happens because real
government is resilient relatively to party politics.
Finally, political
machines are extremely costly and absolutely useless, if not for spreading
material and moral corruption.
Even without any
illusion about impossible “direct democracy” and “electronic democracy”, the
automatization of the political game and the robotization of “people
representative” institutions would remove the costs of political clientelism
and corruption, even if clientelism and corruption would be very likely created
at other levels and in other ways.
Nowadays, people devolve
their supposed power electing political representatives who devolve their
supposed power to formal governments which actually depend on hidden real
governments. If politicians do not obey to what “the system” orders them, they
are variously submitted or removed by intimidation, assassination, blackmails,
use of Secret Police disservices and judiciary apparatuses against them.
The automatization and
robotization of the various aspects of the political and institutional game
would drastically reduce costs and, perhaps, also people’s illusions. In
addition, that would oblige legislation to be more precise because it should be
transformed in computer programs, in precise software.
