09 June 2015

Letter from Lhasa, number 367.
For the rapid robotization of politics and government! Just some notes

Letter from Lhasa, number 367. For the rapid robotization of politics and government! Just some notes
by Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Actually, we have no personal preference. We are only trying expressing what will inevitably happen in a few years and, in some way, is already happening.

Yes, in a few years, not in decades. The robotization of human workforce will exponentially develop in some years while the nearly complete robotization and automatization of whatever now-human activity will take a bit more time, and will produce super-clever robots and artificial minds [AI] overcoming the human ones since the unlimited capacity of rapidly and creatively learning robots and other devices will growingly have.  

It is some decades that industrial robotization reshaped Taylorist factories making largely redundant the traditional line workers. Now robots will rapidly replace  human workforce. One may find more information, or more exemplification, about that, in apparently fantascience movies than in current mass media, although lately current research in this sector be publicly exposed. We are now in the passage phase between scientific and technological acquisitions, and their utilization for the mass productions of para-human robots and similar devices.  

http://uk.businessinsider.com/ recently published the list of twenty jobs robots are most likely to take over, alias being automated. They are, with the estimated probability that that will really happen:
20. Electrical and electronic equipment assemblers, 95.1%;
19. Postal service workers, 95.4%;
18. Jewellers and precious stone and metal workers, 95.5%;
17. Restaurant cooks, 96.3%;
16. Grinding and polishing workers, 97%;
15. Cashiers, 97.1%;
14. Bookkeepers, 97.6%;
13. Legal secretaries, 97.6%;
12. Fashion models, 97.6%;
11. Drivers, 97.8%,
10. Credit analysts, 97.9%;
9. Milling and planing machine setters, operators, and tenders, 97.9%;
8. Packaging and filling-machine operators and tenders, 98%;
7. Procurement clerks, 98%;
6. Umpires and referees, 98.3%;
5. Tellers, 98.3%;
4. Loan officers, 98.4%;
3. Timing-device assemblers and adjusters, 98.5%;
2. Tax preparers, 98.7%;
1. Telemarketers, 99%.

Actually, giving a look at the current research, one may infer that, for instance, waiters, soldiers, police officers, wardens, teachers and professors, lawyers and magistrates can be easily replaced by robots and other automatic procedures or devices. Certainly, also many others work functions.

In practice, all factory workers and office workers, included many managerial or para-managerial positions, can be easily replaced by automatic procedures and devices. In addition, many other jobs can be easily and profitably replaced by automatic procedures and devices, even many we think have a discretion or difficulty actually either they have not or not such that software and machines could not profitably deal with. Even in the health sector, robots will be able to operate better and more profitably than humans.

Computerization, progressively diffused well before the personal computers era, only in some sectors and places has been profitably implemented. Overall in predatory and inefficient State/governments, and other entities, IT has been as put besides and combined with inefficient organisational structures instead of being used for replacing inefficient organizations with efficient ones.   

Also in central and local governments, and similar entities, large part of the current work force can be rapidly dismissed and profitably replaced by automatized and robotized efficient organizational structures.

Of course, but only in limited proportions, and only for a while [AI is rapidly progressing allowing creating robots considerably more skilful and cleverer than humans] there would be a new proletariat, for instance programmers, and new professions connected with the installation and maintenance of robots and other forms of automation.  

...Politics and institutions too.

The so-called institutions are bureaucratic apparatuses. They are variously corrupted, inefficient, useless and harmful, and also excessively costly.

There is a mafia-style law of silence about what really be and how actually work the so-called representative institutions as parliaments, local councils, central and local formal governments, as well as other assemblies and committees. Ministers, Prime Ministers, Presidents, MPs, other ‘people’ representatives, have no real power, or not what it seem. They are as elected bureaucrats, as elected clerks, temporarily covering predefined positions of corrupted and inefficient organizational machines. They have no real power. So, people have no real power.

More precisely, anybody has [not in the same ‘quantity’] some power although nobody have “the power”. About government [what in the European tradition is called State, the bureaucratic apparatuses, administration], bureaucrats having the power of not doing frequently have more real power than provisional politicians. Of course, there are differences and different circumstances, so it is always imprecise generalizing too much although the impotence of people formally in office and in power be everyday visible everywhere in the world. Power is nowhere and everywhere, although there be  people having tiniest amounts of it and people (not necessarily the most visible ones) decidedly more influent.  

There is a sociological-psychological law [the law of downward levelling and aligning] according to which, in whatever democratic, as well as non-democratic, institution and organization, the consensus is reached around the points of view of the most ignorant and evil subjects. Different points of view would not be understood and tolerated, or each one of the subjects suppose they would not be understood and tolerated.

Of course, there is the power of money: big companies, bankers, financiers etc. Also in the case of “big money” (big companies, bankers, financiers etc.), wherever there be big organizations, the law of downward levelling and aligning applies and works. Even in cases of monocratic, or relatively monocratic, companies/organizations, money and power do not necessarily make owners and top managers better and wiser. Oligarchies constituting real government, whatever the formal one be, are not necessarily better and wiser. In the case of world Empires and in the case of Developmental States/Governments, leading oligarchies may be better for certain aspects, but not necessarily (and actually improbably) about everything. 

Politics and institutions have the de facto function of creating problems instead of solving them. Anyway, both problem solving and problem creation can be purposely automatized.

Also the activity of the so-called democratic institutions, and of the supposedly decisional levels of central and local governments could be profitably cut and automatized.        

...Party politics too.

What is politics, the apparent competition among parties and factions? Politics is just marketing. Marketing, clientelism and corruption. Strong and weak formal and real governments depends on the Constitutional frame and on oligarchies. They have no correlation with the political market.

People vote according to the corruption and brainwashing realized through clientelism, political advertising, media suggestions, utilization of police disservices and magistracy for striking or promoting politicians. Whoever gains elections and creates formal governments follows similar policies. That happens because real government is resilient relatively to party politics.   

Finally, political machines are extremely costly and absolutely useless, if not for spreading material and moral corruption. 

Even without any illusion about impossible “direct democracy” and “electronic democracy”, the automatization of the political game and the robotization of “people representative” institutions would remove the costs of political clientelism and corruption, even if clientelism and corruption would be very likely created at other levels and in other ways.

Nowadays, people devolve their supposed power electing political representatives who devolve their supposed power to formal governments which actually depend on hidden real governments. If politicians do not obey to what “the system” orders them, they are variously submitted or removed by intimidation, assassination, blackmails, use of Secret Police disservices and judiciary apparatuses against them.

The automatization and robotization of the various aspects of the political and institutional game would drastically reduce costs and, perhaps, also people’s illusions. In addition, that would oblige legislation to be more precise because it should be transformed in computer programs, in precise software.